Sept 9th 2009

Fred gets a little more weaker.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.3N 33.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB
at this rate I would day there is nothing to worry about but to worry. Thing is this. Looking at the 5 day track from the NHC.




as you see Fred decides to take a little turn. That is after it becomes a TD. No I guess now I am having to bring down my percentage to 45% sure it will not effect and.

John
Echo Of Thunder Weather




Fred Weakens just a little but still a major hurricane.

...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.8N 33.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB

winds have come down only 5mph and pressure is up by 2 points.
a not really surprised, however that Fred weaken. It was already in cool water to start with.
I have a feeling now that he has weakened this is just the start of the big drop off of this storm, but time will tell.

John
Echo Of Thunder Weather.
moving a little more to the NW still at 13mph though.
Fred Becomes the 2nd Major hurricane this season!

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.9N 32.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB

Pressure has dropped even more since 5am 12 points, forward speed also has slowed to 13mph but the winds are now up to 120MPH with higher guests. This Puts Fred at a Cat-3 but thank god NO THREAT TO LAND!!

Fred is expected to weaken tomorrow which I agree with as it will be moving into cooler waters.

for more info on Fred please go to THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

John

ECHO OF THUNDER WEATHER


well Fred really picked up during the night, as of 5am winds are now 105MPH

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.2N 31.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB

Fred has made a little more of a turn to the NW now from 11:00pm last nite and pressure has dropped even more 17 points to 970MB.
now I feel at 90% of no worries at all of Fred at all.

Still will be worth watching however since winds are at 105. .

Now for what I was saying yesterday of the GFS and the GOM.
Today the models have put a little something into the ALA Fla are later in the week. not sure what is going on here if it was a "ghost" or what. will post later in the day as more runs happen.

sorry this is such a short post all. another crazy day

John

Echo Of Thunder weather

www.echoofthunder.com