we have 96L which is expected to become a TD shortly. After looking at the models and quikscat this morning I am seeing some good rotation in this wave which is about 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. As we all know all too well it is too soon to make any calls as to if or when 96L will effect anything.
But with the speed that 96L is moving. Near 20MPH at this post. I am feeling that this system has a very good chance to become Fred. Thing is 96L Is going though a mind field so to say. It could just get grabbed up and pushed north just like 95L was earlier in the week. What I am stating here today is this. It's a wait and see game this early to really know. But from what I do see from the GFS it does take a turn to the North later in the week. Then again it is too early to know for sure.
I will be watching this very very closely and any updates I will be posting.
Have a great day everyone and remember
Look ahead or you could be dead
2:00pm from the NHC
SATELLITE IMAGES AND BUOY DATA INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
MAY BE FORMING. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...ADVISORIES WOULD BE
INITIATED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THROUGH
TONIGHT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
well as of 3:45pm EDT Sept 7th 2009 we now have TD-07 aka 96L
Well TD-7 is born in the far eastern Atl.
here is Adv #1
some models are saying it will not go past 35W or so. but as I have stressed before. Wait and see. too early yet for sure to call this one a fish. I have read so many others already calling it that when it's not. TD-7 has already effected the Cape Verde Islands so technically it's not a fish. A fish is a storm that never effects land at all.
John
Echo Of Thunder Weather
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